基于灰色关联理论的旅游业影响因子分析——以浙江省为例

利用灰色关联分析法对浙江省2005-2010年的旅游产业进行了定量分析,发现浙江省旅游业影响因子从大到小的关联排序为:国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值、城镇家庭收入、旅客周转量、客运量、在校大学生人数、星级饭店数、运输线路距离、广播电视覆盖率。通过建立GM(1,1)模型,对浙江省国内旅游收入和国际创汇进行了短期预测。

Influence factor analysis to the tourism industry based on the Gray Correlation Analysis:taking Zhejiang Province for example

Using the grey relational analysis and the GM(1,1) Grey forecasting model to conduct a quantitative analysis and short-term forecast of the tourism industry from 2005 to 2010 in Zhejiang Province,this article finds out that: impact factors that affect the Zhejiang Tourism Industry sort in descending relevance: capita GDP,per capita GDP,urban household income,total turnover volume of tourists,passenger volume,number star grade hotel,length of transportation routes and radio and television coverage.