| 皖港贸易对皖服务业影响的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 牛利民,徐洁昕. 皖港贸易对皖服务业影响的实证研究[J]. 价值工程, 2010, 29(26): 52-53 |
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| 作者姓名： | 牛利民 徐洁昕 |
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| 作者单位： | 黄山学院经济管理学院,黄山,245041;南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京,210037;黄山学院经济管理学院,黄山,245041 |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽2009年度高校省级优秀青年人才基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 建立了VAR模型试图分析这皖港之间的进出口贸易对安徽服务业发展的影响类型及影响程度,联合检验的结果是皖港进出口贸易是皖服务业发展的原因,单独检验的结果认为安徽从香港的出口贸易是安徽服务业的发展的一个内在原因;脉冲分析认为,安徽对香港的出口贸易对安徽服务业的发展有着显著的、积极而持久的影响,而安徽从香港的进口贸易对安徽服务业的影响相对不够显著;方差分解的结果与脉冲图像分解的结论一致。最后提出一些政策建议和措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 皖港贸易 影响 VAR模型 脉冲分析 |
Positive Study on the Influence of Wangang Trade To the Service Industry of Wan |
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| Niu Limin,Xu Jiexin. Positive Study on the Influence of Wangang Trade To the Service Industry of Wan[J]. Value Engineering, 2010, 29(26): 52-53 |
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| Authors: | Niu Limin Xu Jiexin |
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| Affiliation: | Niu Limin Xu Jiexin ( 1. School of Economics and Management of Huangshan University, Huangshan 245041, China; 2. College of Economics and Management of Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China) |
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| Abstract: | We try to analyze the effects of the trade between Anhui and HongKong on the Service Industry of Anhui province that including the intense degree, the period of existence or persistence, the cause of the effects by building the model VAR. The impulse of the VAR think that the export trade above has a longer, stronger, more positive effects on An-Hui Service Industry than the import above, which conclusion is consistent with the results of variance decomposition of VAR in question, at the end, we come up with some suggestions accordingly. |
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| Keywords: | trade of Anhui and Hongkong effect VAR Model impulse analysis |
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