对2004年以来首次季度贸易逆差的思考

2011年一季度,中国自2004年以采首次出现季度贸易逆差.此次逆差源于进口的迅猛增长,一方面是由于国内经济持续较快增长拉动了进口需求,另一方面是国际市场大宗商品价格的大幅上涨,同时这也与我国的外贸政策有关.贸易逆差的出现有利于减少国际贸易纠纷与摩擦,缓解人民币升值压力,但是大宗物资进口价格的上升也带来输入型通胀的压力.这次逆差的偶然性比较大,就2011年全年来说,贸易顺差是趋势,只是该顺差额与往年相比会下降.

Since the first quarter of 2004 the trade deficit thinking

the first quarter of 2011,China for the first time since 2004,quarterly trade deficit.The deficit stems from the rapid growth of imports,partly because the rapid growth of the domestic economy continues to drive the demand for imports,on the other hand the international market,the sharp rise in commodity prices,which also China's foreign trade policy. The emergence of trade deficit in favor of international trade disputes and friction reduction, ease pressure on RMB appreciation,but the bulk of the rise in ...