中国出口集装箱运价指数研究述评与未来展望

中国出口集装箱运价指数(China Containerized Freight Index,简称CCFI)是全球唯一用于反映集装箱运价的指数。该指数客观、及时地反映了中国集装箱航运市场运价变动情况。是否能够主动掌握CCFI指数的发展态势,及时准确地应对CCFI指数的波动,是政府和企业在市场上做出正确决策的关键。在总结中国出口集装箱运价指数研究现状的基础上,从CCFI指数的编制、波动特性、影响因素以及预测四个方面,系统地对已有相关研究进行述评并展望。

Review and Prospect of China's Export Container Freight Index

China Containerized Freight Index(CCFI)is the only index used to reflect the freight rate of containers in the world.The index objectively and timely reflects the freight rate changes of China's container shipping market.Whether the government and enterprises can actively grasp the development trend of CCFI index and timely and accurately deal with the fluctuation of CCFI index is the key to make correct decisions in the market.On the basis of summarizing the research status of China's export container freight index,this paper systematically reviews and prospects the existing related research from four aspects of CCFI index compilation,fluctuation characteristics,influencing factors and prediction.