蒙特卡罗模型在投资项目决策中的开发应用

随着社会主义市场经济体制的逐步完善、经济水平的逐步提高,我国社会经济活动日趋复杂,越来越多变,其影响越来越广泛,越来越深远,不确定性逐渐成为企业决策时所面临的主要难题。因此本文提出了蒙特卡罗模型在不确定性项目中的应用,介绍了蒙特卡罗模型的理论和方法,在EXCEL表中如何进行不确定性项目分析的应用。本文采用定量分析和定性分析相结合的方法对其进行阐述。

Development and Application of Monte Carlo Mode in Investment Project Decision

With the development of socialist market economic system gradually improved, the economic level gradually increase, the growing complexity of China's social and economic activities, more varied, its influence more widely, more far-reaching implications, the uncertainty have gradually become enterprises the main problem that they make decisions. Therefore this paper, Monte Carlo model in the uncertainty in the application of the project, introduced the Monte Carlo model of the theory and method, in the EXCEL table uncertainty how to proceed with the application of project analysis. In this paper, I use a combination of the quantitative and qualitative analyses.