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Simulating mining policies in developing countries: The case of Colombia
Institution:1. Universidad Nacional de Colombia sede Medellín, Facultad de Minas, Decision Sciences Group, Carrera 80 # 65 – 223 Bloque, M8a-211, Medellin, Colombia;2. Institute of Management, Aarhus University, Bartholins Alle 10, Aarhus, 8000C, Denmark;3. Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética, Subdirección de Minería, Avda. Calle 26 # 69 D-91, Piso 9°, Bogotá, Colombia
Abstract:Mining represents an important economic sector in almost all countries, especially the developing ones. The planning in this area is complex due to the interaction between different aspects like economic factors, environmental and social issues, and government regulation. A tool for policy analysis is needed to understand and test the effects of new and existing policies and avoid unanticipated side effects. The article develops a generic model for analyzing the mining sector of a country and demonstrates how it can be calibrated to test a set of alternative scenarios for the future of mining in Colombia.
Keywords:Colombia  Mining  Policy-making  Scenarios  Simulation  System dynamics
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