能源禀赋与产业技术进步对碳排放强度的影响效应研究

基于1997-2015年长江经济带11个省份的区域面板数据，实证研究了能源禀赋、产业技术进步及二者交互对碳排放强度的影响。研究表明：①产业技术进步会降低碳排放强度，能源禀赋会提高碳排放强度，并且产业技术进步的抑制作用强于能源禀赋的促进作用；②能源禀赋和产业技术进步存在较强的交互作用，产业技术进步可能导致区域能源禀赋相对优势丧失，而能源禀赋优势丧失又会反作用于产业技术进步动力和需求，二者形成的良性互动有利于碳排放减少；③能源禀赋和产业技术进步对碳排放强度的影响存在区域差异，但二者交互作用在不同区域均表现为显著的抑制效应。基于以上结论，对促进长江经济带可持续发展提出以下政策建议：第一，提高能源利用效率，降〖JP〗低单位产出能耗；第二，推进科技创新，提高技术水平，积极开发、利用清洁能源；第三，因地施策，充分发挥产业技术进步通过能源禀赋抑制碳排放的交互作用。

The Effect of Energy Endowments and Industrial Technological Advances on Carbon Intensity

Based on the panel data of eleven provincial regions in the Yangtze River economic belt from 1997 to 2015, this paper empirically examines the impact of energy endowments, industrialtechnological advances and their interactions on carbon emission intensity.The results show that:①Industrialtechnological advances will reduce carbon intensity, energy Endowment will increase the intensity of carbon emissions, and the inhibitory effect of industrialtechnological advances is stronger than the role of energy endowments; ②There is a strong interaction between energy endowments and industrialtechnological advances, technological progressmay lead to the loss of the relative advantages of regional energy endowments, the advantages of energy endowments Loss and then will react to the motivation and demand for technological advances.This interaction of virtuous cycle is conducive to the reduction of carbon emissions.③There are regional differences in the impact of energy endowments and technological advances on carbon intensity.However, the interaction between the two Different regions showed significant inhibitory effect.Based on the above conclusions, the following policy suggestions are put forward to promote the sustainable development of the Yangtze River economic belt.Firstly, improve energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption per unit of output.Secondly, promote technological innovation and technological upgrading and actively develop and utilize clean energy.Thirdly, due to local policy, make full useof the technological progress through the end of carbon emissions energy endowment interaction.