消费者情绪对通货膨胀影响的理论分析

本文基于消费者行为理论和行为经济学理论,构建了一个两期的经济模型,并通过数值模拟的方法,分别研究了消费者在不同情况下的消费者情绪与物价变动和消费的关系。结果表明:消费者情绪会影响物价和消费的波动;消费者情绪会对货币政策的效果产生影响;在制定利率政策时要考虑到居民的消费习惯;在经济周期的不同阶段,消费者情绪对物价的影响不同;在消费者异质的情况下,国家的收入分配政策会影响国家调控物价的效果。

The Theoretical Analysis of The Consumer Sentiment's Impact on the Inflation

Based on the theory of consumer behavior and behavioral economics theory,this paper discussed the relations among consumer sentiment,price and consumption in different situations separately,through applying a two-period economic model and numerical simulation. The results showed that:consumer sentiment will affect the price volatility and the effectiveness of the monetary policy implementation. We must take into account of the consumption habits of the residents when we make interest rate policy. The consum...