人民币汇率对我国出口商品结构影响分析

本文主要研究汇率变动对我国出口商品结构的影响。首先,文章从商品生产中投入品来源和跨国公司在东道国投资决策两方面入手,分析汇率影响出口商品结构的理论基础;本文又利用1980～2004年人民币实际有效汇率与我国出口商品中工业制成品和初级产品的比例数据进行协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,得出结论:人民币实际有效汇率的趋势性变动促进了我国出口商品结构升级。

Analysis of RMB exchange rate''''s influence on China export commodity structure

This paper aims to study how the exchange rate affects the structure of our exporting goods.First,we work on the related theory,in the aspect of the resource of production materials and Multinational Corporation's investing strategies; then,we do the Co-integration analysis and Granger test by the available data on our exporting goods; finally,we get the result: the regular change of RMB exchange rate can do benefit to the upgrading on the structure of our exporting goods.