中俄贸易增长探析与前景预测

对于中俄贸易能否持续快速增长，国内学者众说纷纭。通过理论分析，梳理中俄贸易的历史数据，可建立中俄贸易增长的回归模型，找出影响中俄贸易增长的主要因素。进而可得出如下结论：基于两国要素禀赋的互补基础，基于两国过去贸易的经验实证，基于两国持续经济增长的前景，中国和俄罗斯的贸易必将持续增长，并将在不久的将来呈加速度增长。

The Analysis of Sino - Russian Trade Development

Whether Sino- Russian Trade Development could continue has become a hot issue between Scholars today, This paper analyzes main factors that affect Sino - Russian trade by analyzing Chinese and Russian comparative advantages and constructing a regression model. Based on the factor complementarity between China and Russia, the continuous trade increase in the past and the prospect of steady economy development of both countries, Sino - Russian trade will keep increasing and flourish in the near future.