后靠式移民对收入影响的研究:基于断点回归的估计

基于断点回归对后靠式移民政策的收入效应进行实证研究。研究结果显示移民政策对于涉及群体存在显著的负收入效应，移民使得涉及家庭收入减少超过3000元；相对于从事农业生计家庭超过4000元的收入损失，从事非农业生计策略的家庭具有更高的抗政策波动能力，损失1800元左右远小于农业生计策略；移民对于不同收入水平家庭影响不尽相同，整体上呈现为倒U型。

Study on the Effect of Backward Immigration Policy: Based on Regression Discontinuities

Based on the framework of sustainable livelihood capital analysis, this paper empirically studies the income effect of post-migration policy based on Regression discontinuities(RD).The empirical results of this article has the following three main findings:first, the immigration policy for involving the group there were significant negative income effect, immigration has involved family than non-migrant family income less than 3000 yuan. Second, relative to engage in more than 4000 yuan in agricultural livelihood family income loss, engaged in non-agricultural livelihood strategies of family has higher adaptability for policy, loss 1800 yuan is far less than the agricultural livelihoods strategy. Third, the immigrants to different income scale families should not be the same.