政府投资项目超概算的博弈分析

政府投资项目超概算的原因是项目前期工作有缺陷,项目管理机制存在问题以及监管不到位.从一个新的角度--博弈的角度来看,政府投资项目管理其实也是一个博弈过程,而建设单位在博弈中有着"先行者优势",从而产生超概算的利益驱动.基于博弈分析,应从几个方面对政府投资项目超概算现象进行治理,包括严肃决策程序,增加建设单位超概算的成本,明确投资监督管理责任等.

Analysis of Budgetary Overrun in Public Project Based on Game Theory

Factors that cause budgetary overrun in public project are shortcomings in pre - construction work and problems in management machinism and supervision system. From a new angle of the game theory, the management of a public project is an economic game. And in this game, the construction organization occupies priority position which causes intention of profit making. Based on game theory analyses, to bring budgetary overrun under control, efforts should be made in several aspects, i.e. enforcing decision- making procedure; increasing cost of budgetary overrun; and clarifying supervision responsibility etc.