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用EXCEL实现油气可采储量估算的蒙特卡洛模拟分析
引用本文:刘清志,马二领.用EXCEL实现油气可采储量估算的蒙特卡洛模拟分析[J].技术经济,2009,28(9):63-65.
作者姓名:刘清志  马二领
作者单位:中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东东营,257061
摘    要:本文介绍了蒙特卡洛(模拟)方法的原理以及Excel软件强大的函数计算功能和图表功能,并应用Excel建立油气可采储量估算的数学模型,然后进行蒙特卡洛模拟试验,最终估算出一个具有一定可信度的、比较合理的油气可采储量数值。

关 键 词:Excel  石油天然气可采储量  蒙特卡洛模拟

Monte Carlo Simulation on Estimation of Recoverable Reserve of Oil and Gas by Excel
Liu Qingzhi,Ma Erling.Monte Carlo Simulation on Estimation of Recoverable Reserve of Oil and Gas by Excel[J].Technology Economics,2009,28(9):63-65.
Authors:Liu Qingzhi  Ma Erling
Institution:(School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum( Huadong), Dongying Shandong 257061, China)
Abstract:This paper introduces the principle of Monte Carlo simulation method and the powerful function of Excel software in computing and graphics. And it establishes the mathematical model to estimate the recoverable reserve of oil and gas by Excel,and then proceeds to Monte Carlo simulation experiment. Finally,it gets a reasonable and credible values on the recoverable reserve of oil and gas.
Keywords:Excel
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