| 中国-东盟FTA贸易效应实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 郎永峰,尹翔硕.中国-东盟FTA贸易效应实证研究[J].世界经济研究,2009(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 郎永峰 尹翔硕 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 复旦大学世界经济系
2. 复旦大学世界经济研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市哲学社会科学一般项目,上海外贸学院国际经济贸易研究所校外兼职一般项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 中国-东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)的成立对中国和东盟国家具有重要的经济与政治意义。本文利用一个扩展后的引力模型对CAFTA的贸易效应进行了实证分析。结果显示:CAFTA对区内贸易具有显著扩大效应的同时也显著地促进了与非成员之间的贸易;CAFTA符合"自然的贸易伙伴"的事前贸易关系紧密和空间距离接近标准;同时,CAFTA成员间产品出口结构以互补性为主;进一步降低成员间贸易壁垒、加强贸易合作对CAFTA成员间和世界贸易的扩大具有积极意义。
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| 关 键 词： | CAFTA 贸易创造 贸易转移 引力模型 |
The Empirical Study on the Trade Effect of China-ASEAN FTA |
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| Lang Yongfeng,Yin Xiangshuo.The Empirical Study on the Trade Effect of China-ASEAN FTA[J].World Economy Study,2009(9). |
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| Authors: | Lang Yongfeng Yin Xiangshuo |
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| Abstract: | Based on the panel data of trade between China and ASEAN from 1999 to 2007,this paper empirically studies the trade effect of CAFTA.Using an expanded gravity modle,we find that CAFTA has not only the significant expanding effect of trade among member countries,but also promots the trade between member countries and non-member countries.CAFTA's member countries meet the criteria for "natrual trading partners",and have complementary trade structure.China and ASEAN are suggested to adpot more effective policies to promote cooperation,which will enlarge the trade among CAFTA's members and global trade as well. |
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