| 基于Granger检验的地价与房价关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾向阳,张安录. 基于Granger检验的地价与房价关系研究[J]. 中国土地科学, 2006, 20(2): 57-61 |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾向阳 张安录 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中农业大学土地管理学院,湖北,武汉,430070 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院资助项目;教育部跨世纪优秀人才培养计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 研究目的:探讨地价与房价的因果关系。研究方法:实证研究法与计量经济学分析方法。研究结果:在短期,武汉市房价与地价互为因果,其中地价是房价的Granger原因的程度更大;在长期,房价与地价之间没有显著的因果关系。研究结论:在利用土地政策进行宏观调控时,宜多采用内生的政策工具;继续强化对土地投机的抑制政策,可相应减少政府用来“熨平市场”所需的土地储备量,以缓解土地储备资金不足之困。
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| 关 键 词： | 土地经济 地价 房价 Granger因果关系检验 房地产 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8158(2006)-0057-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-07-28 |
A Study on the Relationship between Land Price and Housing Price: Granger-causality Test and its Implication |
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| ZENG Xiang-yang,ZHANG An-lu. A Study on the Relationship between Land Price and Housing Price: Granger-causality Test and its Implication[J]. China Land Sciences, 2006, 20(2): 57-61 |
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| Authors: | ZENG Xiang-yang ZHANG An-lu |
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| Abstract: | The purpose of the paper is to explore the relationship between land price and housing price.Methods of positive analysis and econometrics analysis were employed.The result implies that interactive effects do exist in the short term in Wuhan,in which the land price has more effects on house price than that of house on land,while in the long term there has no significant casual relationship between them.More endogenous policy instruments should be applied to macro land policy accommodation.In addition,more effective measures shall be taken to restrain land speculation.The quantity of land banking can be cut down accordingly by the government to stabilize the land market,and to ease the pressure of fund shortage. |
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| Keywords: | land economy land price house price Granger-causality test real estate |
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