基于Crystal Ball的PERT网络计划项目工期风险分析 |
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引用本文: | 胡静静.基于Crystal Ball的PERT网络计划项目工期风险分析[J].企业科技与发展,2012(1):21-23. |
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作者姓名: | 胡静静 |
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作者单位: | 安徽理工大学经济与管理学院 |
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摘 要: | 文章介绍了网络计划技术,对PERT网络计划项目各活动持续时间的确定进行了分析,总结了使用Crystal Ball进行风险分析的步骤,构建了某PERT网络计划项目各活动的时间参数的Excel模型。在此基础上,使用Crystal Ball建立该项目的工期风险分析模型,并对该模型进行风险分析,获得有效的分析结果。
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关 键 词: | 网络计划 PERT Crystal Ball 工期风险 |
Analysis of Duration Risk of PERT Network Planning Project Based on Crystal Ball |
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Authors: | HU Jing-jing |
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Institution: | HU Jing-jing (School of Economics and Management,Anhui University of Science and Technology,Huainan Anhui 232001) |
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Abstract: | The article introduces network planning techniques,analyzes the determination of each activity duration of PERT network planning project,summarizes the steps of analyzing risk by using Crystal Ball,makes a Excel model of the time parameters of each activity in a PERT network planning project.Based on that,it makes a model of analyzing duration risk for the project by using Crystal Ball,and analyzes the risk of the model,and then gets effective analysis results. |
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Keywords: | Network Planning PERT Crystal Ball Duration Risk |
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