Assumptions of futures studies: Guidelines for reformulation of teleological decision-making as a research problem |
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| Institution: | 1. Friedrich-Alexander-University (FAU) Erlangen-Nuremberg, Lange Gasse 20, 90403 Nuremberg, Germany;2. Pablo de Olavide University, MIS, Ctra. de Utrera km. 1, 41013 Sevilla, Spain;3. Information Systems Department, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights, Newark, NJ 07102, U.S.;4. AGH University of Science and Technology, Department of Automatic Control and Biomedical Engineering, Decision Sciences Laboratory, al. Mickiewicza 30,30-050 Kraków, Poland Kraków, Poland;5. The Millennium Project, 1 Smilax Dr, Old Lyme, CT, 06371 USA;6. International Centre for Decision Sciences and Forecasting, Progress & Business Foundation, ul. J. Lea 12B, 30-048 Kraków, Poland |
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| Abstract: | A continuous explication of the assumptions of the on-going research within a field is necessary in order to ensure a cumulation of insight. The paper presents a stepwise assessment of three levels of assumptions of futures studies: epistemological assumptions about the realm of experience, paradigmatical assumptions about problem-formulation, and technical assumptions about formulation of empirical hypotheses. The guiding purpose of the assessment is a reformulation of the controversy of free will as a r esearch problem. |
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