区域经济一体化伙伴国的经济发展水平与本国经济增长关系的实证分析

本文以1990-2005年间的41个国家为样本,对区域经济一体化伙伴国的经济发展水平与本国经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,区域经济一体化伙伴国的经济发展水平与本国经济增长呈正相关关系,而伙伴国相对经济发展水平对于本国经济增长的促进作用更为明显;参与不同的区域经济一体化模式对本国经济增长有不同的影响,即参与南--北型和北--北型区域经济一体化有利于经济增长,参与南--南型区域经济一体化对经济增长的影响尚不确定。

Empirical Analysis of Effect of RIA Partners' Income Levels on Home Country Economic Growth

Since midterm of 1980s the world has been experiencing a new wave of Regional Integration Agreement (RIAs).The governments pay more attention to the tendency and try to benefit from RIAs. This paper tests the growth effect of Economic Regional Integration by using the panel data in the period 1990-2005 related to 41 countries. Empirical study shows that RIA partners' income levels have exerted positive effects on home country growth, and the effects of different type of agreements on home country growth are different: North-South and North-North agreements have significant growth effects; there is no clear answer for South-South agreements.