| 我国进出口贸易与经济增长的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔群喜,许贵阳.我国进出口贸易与经济增长的实证研究[J].重庆商学院学报,2006,16(5):79-83. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔群喜 许贵阳 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]上海财经大学国际工商管理学院,上海200433 [2]河南财经学院,河南郑州450002 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据协整检验分析,我国出口对国民经济增长具有推动作用,进口对国民经济增长具有一定的抑制作用,但进口对国民经济增长的抑制作用要比出口的促进作用小得多;从短期动态关系来看,出口和进口都对国民经济的增长具有促进作用,但出口对国民经济增长的促进作用比进口小得多,格兰杰因果检验显示我国出口与经济增长的相关关系较弱.
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 进口 出口 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-6439(2006)05-0079-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 07 18 2006 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年7月18日 |
Empirical study of the relations between the trade of import and export and economic growth |
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| KONG Qun-xi,XU Gui-yang.Empirical study of the relations between the trade of import and export and economic growth[J].Journal of Chongqing Institute of Commerce,2006,16(5):79-83. |
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| Authors: | KONG Qun-xi XU Gui-yang |
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| Institution: | 1. School of International Business Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433 ; 2. Henan College of Finance and Economics, Henan Zhengzhou 450002, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on co-integration test analysis,China's export has promoting effect on economic growth of China and China's import has certain inhibiting effect on the economic growth of China,but the inhibiting effect of the import is much less than the promoting effect of the export on the economic growth of China.According to short-term dynamic relation,the export and import have promoting effect on economic growth of China but promoting effect of export on economic growth of China is much less than the import.Granger Causality Test shows that the relation between China's export and economic growth is weak. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth import export Error Correction Model |
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