全球化、全要素生产率与区域发展差异——基于珠三角、长三角和环渤海的面板数据分析

得益于对外开放政策,地处沿海的珠三角、长三角和环渤海相继成为中国经济的三大引擎,但珠三角仍然保持一种相对优势。这种区域差异是源于全球的数量效应还是质量效应?本文比较分析表明,三大区域之间的TFP存在显著差异;TFP经济增长的贡献,从高到低依次是珠三角、长三角和环渤海。基于贸易、投资和金融维度,本文以面板数据分析技术研究了全球化对区域TFP差异的影响。主要发现是:在区域整体层面上,全球化促进了TFP的提高;但在区域内,全球化对三大区域TFP的促进作用并不显著且无统计意义。全球化对三大区域经济增长的贡献主要是通过数量效应实现的,质量效应尚未成为影响区域经济差距的实质性因素。外贸和FDI增长方式的外延和粗放、较低的金融市场的国际化程度,制约了区域层面TFP的增长。

Globalization, Total Factor Productivity and the Difference of Regional Economies

The endogenetic increase of modern economy consists in the Total Factor Productivity(TFP),which is positively related to the globalization.The Pearl River delta,the Yangtze delta and the Circum-Bohai Economic Zone have become the engine of Chinese economy one after the other.However,the economy of Pearl River delta increases relatively faster.Does the difference consist in the quantitative or the qualitative effect? This paper finds that as for the contribution of TFP to the economy,the sequence is from the Pearl River delta to the Yangtze delta and to the Circum-Bohai Economic Zone.From the trade,investment and finance dimensions,based on the panel data,the paper analyzes the effect of globalization on regional TFP.The paper finds that,as a whole,the globalization can promote the TFP for three regions.However,within the region respectively,the effect of globalization on TFP is not robust and significant.The contribution of globalization to the three regions is mainly quantitative effect,and the qualitative effect is not obvious.Conclusively,the extensive increase of trade and FDI go against the promotion of TFP of three regions.