我国能源消费影响因素实证分析

随着经济的快速发展,能源的消费量也在不断上升.能源消费水平是衡量一个国家或地区现代化水平的重要标志.保持能源的稳定供应,不断提高能源利用率,是支持经济增长的重要保证.为了分析影响能源消费需求的因素,本文选取了国内生产总值GDP、人均生活电力消费、能源加工转换率、年末总人口数和工业品出厂价格指数-原材料、燃料作为主要的参考指标,利用EVIEWS3.1进行分析和检验,并建立最终的数学模型.根据最终的数学模型可以对能源消费进行分析与预测.最后,本文在做出结论的基础上提出了一些政策性的建议.

An Empirical Analysis of the Influence Factors of Energy Consumption in China

With the rapid development of economic, energy consumption is also rising rapidly. Energy con- sumption is an important measure of modernization in a country or region. To maintain a steady supply of energy and increase energy efficiency are important guarantee to support economic growth. In order to analyze the factors which affect energy consumption demand, this paper selects GDP,per capita electricity consumption,energy conver- sion rate,end of the total population and PPI -raw materials, fuel as the main reference index. Analyzing and tes- ting with Econometrics Views 3.1, and then establish the final mathematical model. Finally, on the basis of the conclusion, this paper put forward some policy suggestions.