| 生产资料价格与国民经济运行指标关联关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 谢朝斌,曾庆宝.生产资料价格与国民经济运行指标关联关系的实证研究[J].北京市经济管理干部学院学报,2012,27(1):3-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢朝斌 曾庆宝 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京经济管理职业学院,北京100102／中国社会科学院研究生院政府政策与公共管理系,北京102488
2. 中国社会科学院研究生院政府政策与公共管理系,北京,102488 |
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| 摘 要： | 当前,我国宏观经济调控处于"稳增长"与"稳物价"的微妙平衡,而生产资料作为国家经济建设的基础物质条件,其供需变化不仅与经济增长相关,也与社会物价水平密切相关。本文依据2001年至2010年10年间的生产资料价格数据,对生产资料价格与主要宏观经济指标的关联关系及其与PPI、CPI等价格指标的传导规律进行了实证研究,并在此基础上提出了有利于我国稳定通胀预期、把握价格规律的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 生产资料价格 国民经济运行指标 关联关系 传导规律 |
An empirical study on the correlation between the price of capital goods and the indicators of national economic operation |
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| XIE Chao-bin,ZENG Qing-bao.An empirical study on the correlation between the price of capital goods and the indicators of national economic operation[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Economic Management,2012,27(1):3-11. |
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| Authors: | XIE Chao-bin ZENG Qing-bao |
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| Institution: | 1.Beijing Institute of Economic Management,Beijing 100102,China; Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China) |
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| Abstract: | At present,price stability and growth with stability are in delicate balance in macroeconomic control.As the material foundation of economic growth,the supply and need of capital goods are in close correlation with the national economic growth and social price level.Based on the price data of capital goods in the past 10 years(2001—2010),the author conducted an empirical study that focused on the correlation between capital goods price and the main macroeconomic indicators,and the transmission rule of capital goods price and PPI,CPI.Based on the study,some suggestions were provided to stabilize inflation expectation and master the history of price. |
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| Keywords: | price of capital goods indicators of national economic operation correlation rule of transmission |
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