Inflation Targeting versus Nominal Income Targeting |
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Authors: | Helmut Frisch Sylvia Staudinger |
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Institution: | Technical University Vienna, Argentinierstra?e 8, A-1040 Vienna (e-mails: helmut.frisch@tuwien.ac.at; sstaudin@pop.tuwien.ac.at), AT
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Abstract: | In this paper we analyze two different target regimes, flexible inflation targeting and nominal income targeting, under discretion
in a simple dynamic macro model.
The key results of our paper are: First, for both targeting regimes optimal monetary policy response leads to a shock-dependent
feedback rule. Second, a demand shock is completely offset by both monetary strategies. Third, in case of a supply shock there
is a significant difference between the two different targeting regimes. Under inflation targeting the policy makers face
a trade-off between inflation and output stabilization. This trade-off depends on the weight Φ the policy makers attach to
output stabilization relative to inflation stabilization in the loss function. In contrast, under nominal income targeting
policy makers face a constant trade-off between inflation and real output growth: an increase in inflation leads to a fall
in real output growth by an equal amount.
Furthermore, in Appendix A we analyze a (linear) commitment solution for inflation targeting and compare it with the discretionary
case. Under commitment, inflation is smaller and the output gap is larger than under discretion.
In Appendix B, we investigate inflation targeting in a two-period time-lag version of the model. The qualitative results on
the trade-off between inflation and output growth remain the same as in the basic model without time lag.
Received May 3, 2000; revised version received December 3, 2001 Published online: February 17, 2003 |
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Keywords: | : inflation targeting nominal income targeting optimal monetary policy |
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