| 中国对东盟直接投资与贸易间关系的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王长义,陈利霞. 中国对东盟直接投资与贸易间关系的协整分析[J]. 山东财政学院学报, 2013, 0(5): 58-63 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王长义 陈利霞 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东财经大学国际经贸学院,山东济南,250014
2. 山东建筑大学法政学院,山东济南,250101 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"增加值贸易与国外供求波动的动态传递效应研究" |
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| 摘 要： | 文章运用协整理论、误差修正模型等方法,利用1995-2012年间的年度数据,对中国对东盟的直接投资与贸易间关系进行了实证分析。分析结果表明,中国对东盟的直接投资与进出口贸易间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,直接投资与出口贸易间是一种互补关系,直接投资与进口贸易间是一种替代关系;短期内,中国对东盟的直接投资与进出口贸易间是一种替代关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 对外直接投资 进出口贸易 协整检验 |
A Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Chinese Outward FDI and International Trade in ASEAN |
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| WANG Chang-yi , CHEN Li-xia. A Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Chinese Outward FDI and International Trade in ASEAN[J]. Journal of Shandong Finance Institute, 2013, 0(5): 58-63 |
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| Authors: | WANG Chang-yi CHEN Li-xia |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of International Trade and Economics, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China ;2. School of Law and Politics, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China) |
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| Abstract: | This article uses the methods such as co-integration test and VEC model to empirically analyze the relationship between Chinese outward FDI and international trade in ASEAN during 1995 -2011. The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between Chinese outward FDI and international trade in ASEAN.On the one hand, in the long term, there is a complementary relationship between outward FDI and export whereas there is a trade-off relationship between outward FDI and import. On the other hand, in the short term, there exists a trade-off relationship between outward FDI and international trade. |
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| Keywords: | outward FDI international trade co-integration test |
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