| Policy Options for China＇s Bio-ethanol Development and the Implications for Its Agricultural Economy |
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| 基金项目： | The Authors acknowledge the financial support of the National Social Science Foundation of China （07BJY062）, the National Natural Science Foundation of China （70603036）, and the Dutch Government. |
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| 摘 要： | The present paper analyzes the potential impacts of bio-ethanol expansion on agricultural production, food prices and farmers＇ incomes in different regions of China. The results show that increase in demand for feedstock to produce bio-ethanol will lead to large increase in the prices of agricultural products. The increase in prices will trigger a significant rise in the production of feedstock at the cost of lower rice and wheat production. The study also reveals that the impacts of bio-ethanol on farmers＂ incomes vary largely among regions and farmer groups. Given the expected expansion of bio-ethanol production in the future, and the limited land resources for feedstock production in China, the viability of different crops as feedstock for bio-ethanol requires careful analysis before a large-scale expansion of China＇s bio-ethanol program. Bio-ethanol production in China should be relying more on the second generation of bio-ethanol technologies （i.e. using celluloses to produce bio-ethanol）, and China＇s government should increase research investment in this field.
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 农业发展 生物乙醇 政策支持 |
Policy Options for China＇s Bio-ethanol Development and the Implications for Its Agricultural Economy |
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| Authors: | Huanguang Qiu Jikun Huang Michiel Keyzer Wim van Veen |
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| Institution: | [1]Research Fellow, Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of GeographicSciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China [2]Professor and Director, Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Instituteof Geographic Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China [3]Professor and Director, Center for World FoodStudy, Free University, the Netherlands [4]Research Fellow,Center for World Food Study, Free University, the Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | The present paper analyzes the potential impacts of bio‐ethanol expansion on agricultural production, food prices and farmers' incomes in different regions of China. The results show that increase in demand for feedstock to produce bio‐ethanol will lead to large increase in the prices of agricultural products. The increase in prices will trigger a significant rise in the production of feedstock at the cost of lower rice and wheat production. The study also reveals that the impacts of bio‐ethanol on farmers' incomes vary largely among regions and farmer groups. Given the expected expansion of bio‐ethanol production in the future, and the limited land resources for feedstock production in China, the viability of different crops as feedstock for bio‐ethanol requires careful analysis before a large‐scale expansion of China's bio‐ethanol program. Bio‐ethanol production in China should be relying more on the second generation of bio‐ethanol technologies (i.e. using celluloses to produce bio‐ethanol), and China's government should increase research investment in this field. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural development bio-ethanol policy options |
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