福建省流通产业关联及波及效应的实证研究

在界定流通产业范围的基础上,对国民经济行业分类体系进行了调整,将流通产业从第三产业中分离出来作为国民经济的第四部门;在此基础上,对福建省流通产业与其国民经济各部门的产业关联及其波及效应进行了实证研究,分析了福建省流通产业的依存度、直接关联效应、完全需要系数、影响力系数和感应度系数及生产诱发系数。认为流通产业与国民经济其他部门都有较强的关联,能有效带动福建省国民经济各部门的发展,有望成为福建省的主导产业。

Empirical Study on Industrial Association and Spreading Effect of Distribution Industry in Fujian Province

This paper defines the scope of distribution industry, and adjusts the industry classification system of national economy, namely to separate distribution industry from the tertiary industry as the fourth sector of national economy. Then it empirically studies industrial association and spreading effect of distribution industry on the other sectors of national economy in Fujian province, and analyzes direct coefficient of consumption, Leontief inverse matrix,indexes of direct forward linkage and backward linkage, effect coefficient and sense degree coefficient,output requirement coefficient of distribution industry in Fujian province. It holds that distribution industry has a strong association with other sectors of national economy,and has a great impetus to all sectors of national economy in Fujian province. Therefore, distribution industry can be expected to develop as one of the leading industries in Fujian province.