Foresight in designing sun-beach destinations |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Academic Journals, Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai, 201620, PR China;2. School of Management, New York Institute of Technology-Vancouver, Vencouver, BC, V7Y 1K8, Canada;3. Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai, 201620, PR China;4. Department of Accounting and Finance, Asper School of Business, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, R3T 5V4, Canada;1. Teh Line Ltd., Mate Balote 53, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia;2. Faculty of Geodesy, University of Zagreb, Ka?i?eva 26, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia;1. Nutrition Section, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, and Military Division, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, College of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, 114 Doughty Street, Ste. 630D, MSC774, Charleston, SC, 29425, USA;2. Department of Neurology, College of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, 96 Jonathan Lucas Street, Suite 301 CSB, Charleston, SC, 29425, USA;3. Acting Chief, Section on Nutritional Neurosciences, LMBB, NIAAA, NIH, 5625 Fishers Lane, Rm 3N-07, MSC 9410, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA;4. Nutrition Section, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, 114 Doughty Street, Ste. 630D, MSC774, Charleston, SC 29425, USA;5. Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, 135 Cannon Street, Ste. 303C, Charleston, SC, 29425, USA;6. Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, 67 President Street, Charleston, SC, 29425, USA;7. Northrop Grumman Corp, 3565 Macon Rd, Columbus, GA, 31907, USA;8. Maneuver Center of Excellence, Infantry Basic Officers Leader Course, Fort Benning, GA, 31905, USA |
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| Abstract: | Foresight tools have been less used than forecasting methods by tourism planners because they seem to provide little added value to the planning process. To overcome this biased perception, this paper shows the potential of foresight for dealing with tourism development issues burdened by complexity and uncertainty, as well as its capability to bring down analysis from global challenges to local and spatial implications. A model framework is presented to incorporate foresight studies into the process of planning and designing tourist destinations. The model facilitates a gradual transition from a narrative vision to the spatial design of a future destination. Stakeholders play a very important role in the proposed model, being involved throughout the process in identifying future trends, formulating visions and helping to design urban patterns. In order to facilitate stakeholders' involvement, various analytical and design tools are used to envision the future development of tourist destinations. |
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| Keywords: | Futures studies Foresight Vision design Strategic planning Destination design |
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