| 基于灰色理论的海西区域物流需求研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈 瑜. 基于灰色理论的海西区域物流需求研究[J]. 科技和产业, 2010, 10(12): 35 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈 瑜 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建江夏学院,工商系,福州,350002 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建江夏学院青年项目(2009C019) |
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| 摘 要： | 物流产业的发展在"海西"经济区建设中发挥着重要作用。在当前物流产业统计指标体系尚未健全的情况下,本文运用灰色系统预测模型,对"海西"经济区建设的物流需求量进行预测,以此反映"海西"经济区物流需求的变化情况,为"海西"经济区物流产业的规划和制定相应物流政策提供依据。研究结果表明,GM(1,1)预测模型预测精度较高,效果较好。
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| 关 键 词： | “海西”经济区 物流 灰色预测 GM(1 1)模型 |
The Research of Logistics Demand of the West-Straits Economic Area Based on the Gray Theory |
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| CHEN Yu. The Research of Logistics Demand of the West-Straits Economic Area Based on the Gray Theory[J]. SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL, 2010, 10(12): 35 |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yu |
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| Affiliation: | CHEN Yu(Fujian jiangxia institution,Fuzhou 350002,China) |
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| Abstract: | The development of logistics industry has played an important role in the West-Straits Economic Area.In the current situation of logistics industry statistic index system not perfect,the paper forecasts the logistics demand of the West-Straits Economic Area,using the gray forecasting model,reflecting the changes of logistics needs,providing the corresponding suggestions for the development of logistics industry.The results shows that the prediction accuracy of the GM(1,1) forecasting model is more accurater... |
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| Keywords: | West-Straits Economic Area logistics demand gray forecasting model GM(1 1)model |
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