| 中国-东盟贸易自由化的博弈分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 石岿然,章晓.中国-东盟贸易自由化的博弈分析[J].国际贸易问题,2008(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 石岿然 章晓 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京工业大学经济管理学院,210009 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金,江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章应用博弈论研究中国-东盟贸易自由化问题。首先通过静态博弈模型分析了中国应当采取"合作"和"首先行动"策略的原因。其次,分别建立了两阶段和三阶段动态博弈模型,阐释了中国-东盟之间需要签订书面协议的重要性,并应用关税博弈模型说明了自由贸易区内中国和东盟双方应以零关税率为合作的最终目标。最后,根据实际数据对理论模型进行了分析和验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国-东盟自由贸易区 博弈分析 纳什均衡 关税税率 |
Game Analysis on China-ASEAN Trade Liberalization |
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| SHI Kui-ran,ZHANG Xiao.Game Analysis on China-ASEAN Trade Liberalization[J].Journal of International Trade,2008(9). |
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| Authors: | SHI Kui-ran ZHANG Xiao |
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| Abstract: | By applying game theory, this paper analyzes the problem of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area. Firstly, the reasons why China should choose the strategies of"cooperation"and"first move"are analyzed by static game. Secondly, two-stage and three-stage dynamic games are presented to shed light on the importance of signing contract. Furthermore, the tariff game is introduced to show that zero tariff rate should be the final goal within the free trade area in the long run. Finally, the real data are applied to analyze and test the theoretic models. |
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| Keywords: | China-ASEAN free trade area Game theoretical analysis Nash equilibrium Tariff rate |
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