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Endogenous cyclical corporate tax burden in China: The role of tax quotas and growth targets
Authors:Hongsheng Fang  Minyuan He  Dandan Dang  Jun Zhang
Institution:1. School of Economics, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China

Institute for Fiscal Big-Data & Policy of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China;2. School of Economics, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China;3. Fudan University, Shanghai, China

Abstract:Using data from China Annual Survey of Industrial Firms and addressing potential endogeneity problem, we find that corporate tax burden in China is procyclical during recessions and countercyclical during booms. The cyclicality is stronger for enterprises whose corporate income taxes are levied by Local Tax Bureau (LTB). Procyclicality of corporate tax burden during recessions is larger for enterprises located in county, non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), non-high-tech enterprises and large-medium enterprises. Furthermore, tax quotas and growth targets of local governments enhance procyclicality during recessions and the countercyclicality of corporate tax burden during booms. Tax collection and government spending are important channels through which tax quotas and growth targets affect the cyclicality of corporate tax burden, respectively. This paper provides important policy implications for China during economic recessions.
Keywords:cyclicality of corporate tax burden  government spending  growth targets  tax collection  tax quotas
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