| 决策树法在某化工厂扩能改造决策中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵晶英,王大成,吴小东.决策树法在某化工厂扩能改造决策中的应用[J].价值工程,2012,31(16):196-197. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵晶英 王大成 吴小东 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东石油化工学院机电工程学院,茂名,525000 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于某化工厂扩能改造的实际需求,提出改造局部工艺来提高产量、大改造来提高产量、解决关键瓶颈设备来提高产量三个备选方案。应用决策树法对备选方案进行分析计算,三个备选方案的益损期望值分别为1520.62万元、1197.48万元、1648.33万元,解决关键瓶颈设备来提高产量为最佳方案。
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| 关 键 词： | 扩能改造 决策 化工生产 决策树法 |
Policy-making of A Chemical Plant Capacity Expansion Based on Decision Tree Method |
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| Zhao Jingying
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Wang Dacheng
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Wu Xiaodong.Policy-making of A Chemical Plant Capacity Expansion Based on Decision Tree Method[J].Value Engineering,2012,31(16):196-197. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Jingying Wang Dacheng Wu Xiaodong |
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| Institution: | Zhao Jingying;Wang Dacheng;Wu Xiaodong(College of Mechanical & Electrical Engineering,Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology,Maoming 525000,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on a chemical plant’s actual demand of capacity expansion,three alternative plans were put forward that transform partial craft to increase production,a large renovation to raise output,solve key bottleneck equipment to enhance output.Alternative plans were analyzed and calculated by decision tree method,the expected values of three alternative plans respectively are 15.2022 million Yuan,11.9478 million Yuan and 16.4833 million Yuan,the plan of solve key bottleneck equipment to enhance output is the best plan. |
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| Keywords: | capacity expansion policy-making the chemical production decision tree |
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