| 中国财政赤字与经济增长之间的经验研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 刘宏杰,张亚博. 中国财政赤字与经济增长之间的经验研究[J]. 山东工商学院学报, 2008, 22(4) |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 刘宏杰 张亚博 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]中国社会科学院财贸所,北京100836 [2]中央党校经济学部,北京100091 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 分析了1978~2006年中国财政赤字和国内生产总值的变化趋势,运用协整理论和G ranger因果关系检验理论,就中国财政赤字的经济带动效应进行了经验分析。结论表明,1986~2006年、1982~2006年,中国财政赤字带动了经济发展,财政赤字每增加1单位,国内生产总值将发生0.69、0.70单位的增量变化。从因果关系检验来看,财政赤字与国内生产总值之间有显著的单向因果关系,国内生产总值的增长是财政赤字增加的原因。
|
| 关 键 词： | 财政赤字 经济增长 协整 因果检验 |
On the Experience between the Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth in China |
| |
| LIU Hong-jie,ZHANG Ya-bo. On the Experience between the Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth in China[J]. Journal of Shandong Institute of Business and Technology, 2008, 22(4) |
| |
| Authors: | LIU Hong-jie ZHANG Ya-bo |
| |
| Affiliation: | LIU Hong-jie1,ZHANG Ya-bo2 (1.Institute of Finance , Trade Economics,CASS,Beijing 100836,China,2.Economic Department,Party School of the Central Committee of CPC,Beijing 100091,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | This thesis analyzes the great changes of fiscal deficit and GDP during the course of 1978~2006.On the basis of the study of fiscal deficit and GDP,the theorem of cointegration and Granger causality are introduced in order to testify the economic effect of fiscal deficit in China in the period of 1986~2006 and 1982~2006.The article suggests that the fiscal deficit promotes the economic growth,and GDP will increase 0.69 and 0.70 unit when fiscal deficit enhances 1 unit.We can see the single directional causa... |
| |
| Keywords: | fiscal deficit economic growth cointegration causality test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
