| 中国成品油市场2010年运行特点及2011年供需预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 丁少恒,王健,龚满英. 中国成品油市场2010年运行特点及2011年供需预测[J]. 国际石油经济, 2011, 19(4): 40-49 |
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| 作者姓名： | 丁少恒 王健 龚满英 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油规划总院;中国石油天然气集团公司规划计划部; |
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| 摘 要： | 2010年,中国成品油（汽油、煤油、柴油）表观消费量达到2.46亿吨,同比增长11.8,高于过去10年8的年均增长率。分品种看,汽油消费量为7118万吨,同比增长7.4;柴油消费量为15729万吨,同比增长13,为近5年最高增速;煤油消费大幅增长17。国内成品油市场供需宽平衡,地方炼厂竞争力继续增强,成品油产量显著增加。2011年中国经济仍将保持平稳较快增长,增速略有放缓。预计全年成品油表观消费量将达到2.64亿吨,同比增长7.5。其中,汽油消费增长9.3,柴油消费增长6.6,煤油需求增长8.7。全年替代燃料替代汽柴油量将达到930万~940万吨,较上年增加近200万吨。国内一次加工能力将新增约4000万吨/年,达到6.6亿吨/年,成品油产量达到2.63亿吨,市场将略呈供需紧平衡状态。
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| 关 键 词： | 2010年 中国 成品油市场 汽油 柴油 煤油 表观消费量 需求 2011年 |
Characteristics of China's refined products market in 2010 and supply and demand forecast for 2011 |
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| Ding Shaoheng,Wang Jian,Gong Manying. Characteristics of China's refined products market in 2010 and supply and demand forecast for 2011[J]. International Petroleum Economics Monthly, 2011, 19(4): 40-49 |
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| Authors: | Ding Shaoheng Wang Jian Gong Manying |
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| Affiliation: | Ding Shaoheng&Gong Manying,PetroChina Planning and Engineering Institute,Wang Jian,CNPC Planning Department |
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| Abstract: | In 2010 consumption of domestic refined oil (gasoline, kerosene, diesel) reached 246 million tons, for an annual increase of 11.8%, higher than the annual average of 8% for the past decade. By category, gasoline consumption was 71.18 million tons, for an increase of 7.4%; kerosene consumption was 157.29 million tons, for an increase of 13% which was the highest growth rate in the past 5 years; diesel consumption had a big increase, of 17%. With a stable balance of supply and demand in the domestic oil marke... |
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