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Challenge Facing China's Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era
引用本文:Fang Cai,Meiyan Wang. Challenge Facing China's Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era[J]. 中国与世界经济(英文版), 2006, 14(5): 20-31. DOI: 10.1111/j.1749-124X.2006.00035.x
作者姓名:Fang Cai  Meiyan Wang
作者单位:Fang Cai,Meiyan Wang
摘    要:I. Introduction As a result of the strictly implemented one-child policy, China has completed a demographic transition within approximately 20 years, a very short period of time when compared to most developed countries. As a continuation of the first stage of transition from high death rate, high birth rate and low growth rate to low death rate, high birth rate and high growth rate, which was completed in the 1950s, the second stage of transition from low death rate, high birth rate and high …

关 键 词:人口老龄化  中国  人口结构  可持续发展

Challenge Facing China''s Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era
Fang Cai Meiyan Wang. Challenge Facing China''s Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era[J]. China & World Economy, 2006, 14(5): 20-31. DOI: 10.1111/j.1749-124X.2006.00035.x
Authors:Fang Cai Meiyan Wang
Affiliation:Professor, Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China. Email:;;Assistant Professor, Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China. Email: .
Abstract:Demographic transition has occurred more rapidly in China than in most developed countries. As the population ages, the growth rate of the working age population has started to decline and the absolute quantity of the working age population will begin to shrink after 2015, which will inevitably result in structural labor shortage. Under the circumstance where comparative advantage is still embodied in its labor-intensive commodities, timely and sufficient supply of a skilled labor force is vital for China to sustain fast economic growth.
Keywords:demographic dividend   demographic transition   growth sustainability
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