超赶共识监督下的中国产业政策模式-以汽车产业为例

本文以中国汽车(轿车)产业在改革开放后的发展,及其产业政策沿革为例,探讨中国产业政策之模式。汽车产业政策在过去三十年来持续演变,政策质量多不理想,中央政策单位无法与企业部门信息互通,政策拟定上常难以适应市场状况,各地方也多各行其是。不过这也形成实验空间,事后各地不同结果可能被择优选用,作为下一波政策修订的依据。政策的改进有赖于各方对追求中国长期发展具有高度共识,超赶西方成为检验政策成效的有效准则。此模式下中央成为竞争平台,各方博弈在超赶共识下,逼使中央不断修改政策采纳胜出的模式。

THE CHINESE MODEL OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY UNDER THE CATCH-UP CONSENSUS:THE CASE OF THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

This paper examines the evolution of the industrial policies of the Chinese automobile industry,and uses this to identify the Chinese model of industrial policy.The auto industrial policy mostly did not produce satisfactory results,but a learning effect was evident through policy evolution.The central state lacked the necessary information to design feasible policies,while the local governments often followed their own courses of action.The central state nonetheless could adopt the winning local model and r...