贸易战略选择:一般情形与大国情形

发展中国家普遍具有的二元经济结构的特征决定了这些国家经济发展的一个根本途径就是实行工业化。可供选择的实现工业化的手段包括出口促进和进口替代战略,而不同战略的业绩比较一直是学者们争论的焦点。文章通过一个简单的三部门模型,讨论了一般情况下不同贸易战略的绩效,并讨论了大国条件下不同贸易战略选择的特殊性以及有关我国贸易战略选择的问题。

Choice of Trade Strategies:General Case and "Big Country" Case

The dominating dual economic structure in developing countries determines that these countries must choose the approach of industrialization to develop their economy. The alternative strategies of industrialization include import substitution and export promotion. The performance comparison between these two strategies has been the focus of academic discussions. This paper discusses the performance of different trade strategies by constructing a simple three-sector model,and analyzes the applicability of the model under the condition of "Big Country".