| 国际收支双顺差和中国经济波动 |
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| 引用本文： | 李春吉. 国际收支双顺差和中国经济波动[J]. 南京财经大学学报, 2010, 0(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 李春吉 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京财经大学经济学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用新凯恩斯主义垄断竞争一般均衡模型来分析我国国际双顺差的原因、性质和后果。分析结果表明,我国贸易顺差的直接原因是出口商品价格水平相对GDP价格水平的比率持续下降,而我国工资总额占GDP的比率持续下降是出口商品价格相对水平下降的主要原因,也是大量贸易顺差的根源所在;出口商品需求价格弹性和汇率也是影响出口商品价格相对水平的因素;大量的FDI进入是形成资本和贸易顺差的重要原因;在双顺差的背景下,人民币升值不是调节国际收支顺差的很好选择;贸易平衡对维持经济稳定增长很重要,贸易不平衡越大引起的经济波动越大。
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| 关 键 词： | 国际收支双顺差 新凯恩斯主义 经济波动 |
The Dual Surplus of International Payment and China's Economy Fluctuation |
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| Li ChunJi. The Dual Surplus of International Payment and China's Economy Fluctuation[J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, 2010, 0(6) |
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| Authors: | Li ChunJi |
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| Affiliation: | Li ChunJi(School of Economics,Nanjing University of Finance and Economy,Nanjing 210046,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies the dual surplus of international payment and China's economic fluctuation in a new Keynesian open economy model.The analysis indicates that the declining of ratio of export price level to GDP index price level causes the surplus of international trade.The declining of ratio of total wage to GDP is the reason of declining ratio of export price level to GDP index price level and resource of surplus of international trade.The elasticity of export price and exchange rate of RenMinBi are also... |
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| Keywords: | dual surplus of balance of payment new keynesian economic fluctuation |
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