生产性服务贸易自由化与制造业生产率提升：基于跨国数据的分析

生产性服务贸易自由化作为当前的一种主要的对外开放的形式，对国家制造业发展的影响还没有统一的理论和实证研究。文章通过构建理论模型研究生产性服务贸易自由化对制造业生产率影响假设，利用2008-2012年中的69个国家的跨国面板数据来对假设进行检验。通过理论和实证分析发现：生产性服务贸易的自由化可以促进国内制造业生产率的提升，但是提升的作用在不同的国家收入水平和生产性服务业部门间体现出差异性。从国家的收入水平差异来看，生产性服务贸易自由化对高收入国家的影响要大于低收入国家。对于不同生产性服务业部门的自由化影响来看，显著地影响制造业生产率的是金融和商务服务生产性服务业，运输和电信生产性服务业的影响较小且不显著。

The Relationship between the Productive Service Trade Liberalization and Manufacture Productivity Promotion: Based on Transnational Data Analysis

As a current main form of opening up to the outside world, influences of the productive service trade liberalization on the development of national manufacturing industries have not been unified empirically and theoretically. The present research studies its effects on manufacture productivity by constructing a theoretical model, and verifies the effects with the Cross-Country Panel Data of 69 countries’ from 2008 to 2012. It shows that the productive service trade liberalization can promote manufacture productivity, and the promotion varies with different countries’ income level and productive service sectors. Productive service trade liberalization has greater impact on high-income countries than low-income countries. Besides, its effects are more significant for financial and business services, and less significant for transport and telecommunication services.