An evaluation of the saving,investment, and current account balances of five ASEAN economies |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Accounting and Finance, Griffith University, PMB 50 Gold Coast Mail Centre, Queensland, 9726, Australia;2. Department of Economics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic. 3052, Australia;1. Dipartimento di Farmacia e Biotecnologie, Università di Bologna, Via Selmi 3 Bologna, Italy;2. Dipartimento di Agraria – Laboratorio di Entomologia “E. Tremblay”, Università di Napoli ‘Federico II’, Portici (NA), Italy;3. Dipartimento di Medicina Molecolare, Università di Padova, Padova, Italy;4. Department of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA;1. Department of Chemistry, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA;2. Department of Biological Sciences, Webster University, St. Louis, MO 63119, USA;3. Department of Chemistry and The W.M. Keck Foundation Center for Molecular Structure, California State University, San Marcos, CA 92096, USA |
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| Abstract: | This paper evaluates the saving, investment and current account balances (CABs) of five ASEAN economies: Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines over the period 1976 to 1997. The method is to apply a calibrated representative agent model of optimal saving and investment to each of these economies. The model generates optimal saving, investment and CABs for each year from 1976 to 1997 and these are compared with the actual balances. The results suggest that three of the ASEAN countries—Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand—had below-optimal current account ratios (to GDP) on average over the period 1976 to 1997, for most reasonable values of parameters. This was the result of over-investment for Malaysia and Thailand and under-saving by the Philippines. For Singapore and, to a lesser extent Indonesia, the reverse applies—their current account ratios were above-optimal on average due to over-saving. |
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