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国际贸易影响就业的实证分析——以广东省为例
引用本文:李永杰,张华初. 国际贸易影响就业的实证分析——以广东省为例[J]. 国际经贸探索, 2008, 24(11): 15-19
作者姓名:李永杰  张华初
作者单位:华南师范大学经济与管理学院,广东广州510006
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目,广东省自然科学基金项目,广东省人文社科基地重大项目
摘    要:传统国际贸易理论几乎都把充分就业作为基本前提,这明显与现实不相符合.广东是外贸大省,同时也是一个就业大省.实证分析表明,广东省的进口和出口都是就业的Granger原因.广东出口增加1%,广东城镇就业增加0.76%:进口增加1%,广东城镇就业减少0.77%.就业是民生之本,我们要实行更加有利于促进就业和减少失业的对外贸易政策,将促进国内就业作为制定、调整货物和服务进出口政策以及处理贸易争端的重要依据.

关 键 词:国际贸易  就业  协整

An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of International Trade on Labor Market in Guangdong
LI Yong-jie ZHANG Hua-chu. An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of International Trade on Labor Market in Guangdong[J]. International Economics and Trade Research, 2008, 24(11): 15-19
Authors:LI Yong-jie ZHANG Hua-chu
Affiliation:LI Yong-jie ZHANG Hua-chu(South China Normal University,Guangzhou 510006,China)
Abstract:It does not conform to the reality obviously that the traditional international trade theory regards full employment as a basic premise.Most of the existing research literatures about the impact of international trade on labor market are based on an industry or regional empirical analyses.The conclusions may be different,and even opposite.The impact of international trade on employment is likely to be a positive issue.Guangdong is a large province in terms of trade, and also a big province in terms of emplo...
Keywords:international trade  employment  cointegration  
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