结构变化、效率改进与我国电力消费关系分析

经济增长与能源消耗一直是当今社会关注的焦点。我们运用带结构变量的经济计量模型研究我国电力消费与经济增长之间的关系,尤其是改革开放前后经济结构变化对电力消费的影响。结果表明,电力消费与经济增长之间存在长期、均衡、稳定的关系,产业结构调整对提高电力使用效率、节约电力有积极的影响。随着经济的发展和产业结构的进一步调整,我国的电力利用效率必将有更显著的提高。

Empirical analysis of the relationship between structural change, efficiency improvement and electric power consumption of China

Economic growth and energy consumption have been a concerned point of present society, electricity consumption is the main embodiment. Econometric model with structural variables is used to study the relationship between electric power consumption and economic growth of China, and the influence of economic structural change before and after the implementation of reform and open policy on electric power consumption is analyzed. The results show that the long--term, balanced and stable relation between electric power consumption and economic growth exists and that industrial structure adjustment has active influence on promoting electric use efficiency and saving electric power. With the developing of economy and further industrial structure adjustment, the electric power use efficiency will be obviously promoted.