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Hypothetical extractions from a global perspective
Authors:Erik Dietzenbacher  Bob van Burken  Yasushi Kondo
Affiliation:1. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlandsh.w.a.dietzenbacher@rug.nl;3. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands;4. Faculty of Political Science and Economics, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
Abstract:ABSTRACT

The hypothetical extraction method (HEM) has been widely used to measure interindustry linkages and the importance of industries. HEM considers the hypothetical situation in which a certain industry is no longer operational. HEM was developed for national economies, using national input–output tables. When performing HEM, it is assumed (often implicitly) that the input requirements that were originally provided by the extracted industry are met by additional imports in the post-extraction situation. Applying HEM to global multiregional input–output tables then causes serious problems. It is no longer sufficient to assume that the required inputs are imported. Instead, it is necessary to indicate explicitly how much is imported from each origin to replace the original inputs. Our adaptation of HEM is the global extraction method (GEM). As an illustration, GEM is applied to the extraction of the motor vehicle industry in China, the US, and Germany, using the 2014 WIOD input–output table.
Keywords:Hypothetical extraction method  globalization effects  industry linkage evaluation
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