| 全球失衡问题的资产组合方法——对美国的分析及对中国的启示 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨权.全球失衡问题的资产组合方法——对美国的分析及对中国的启示[J].经济学家,2008(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨权 |
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| 作者单位： | 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系,福建,厦门,361005 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于国际收支货币分析理论的资产组合方法是研究全球失衡问题的一个新视角.这一方法关注一国净外部资产头寸的累积及其可持续性,理解和评估外部失衡的关键是净外部资产变动过程中的价值效应.用该方法对美国外部失衡所做的研究能够得到较为乐观的结论.我国持续贸易顺差并没有带来相应程度的财富累积,我国外部头寸的价值效应为负.我国对贸易顺差进行调整时必须考虑外部头寸价值变动所产生的平衡效应.同时,我国应适当调整外部头寸结构以降低外部财富损失的风险并积极参与东亚金融合作以抵御风险.
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| 关 键 词： | 净外部资产 贸易余额 全球失衡 |
The portfolio method for solving global disequilibrium problem-An analysis on the U.S.A. And the implication for China |
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| Yang Quan.The portfolio method for solving global disequilibrium problem-An analysis on the U.S.A. And the implication for China[J].Economist,2008(5). |
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| Authors: | Yang Quan |
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| Institution: | Yang Quan (Department of International Economics , Trade,School of Economics,Xiamen University,Xiamen,Fujian,361005) |
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| Abstract: | It is a new perspective of the portfolio method based on the theory of monetary analysis of international balance to research global disequilibrium problem. The method focuses on the accumulation and consistency of a country's net external asset position. The key to understand and estimate external disequilibrium lies in the value effects during the process of changes in net external assets. Employing such method, you can get optimistic conclusion when you research on the external disequilibrium of the U.S.... |
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| Keywords: | Net external assets Balance of trade Global disequilibrium |
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