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Stochastic optimization for investment in facilities in emergency prevention
Affiliation:1. Richard J. Bolte, Sr., School of Business, Mount St. Mary''s University, Emmitsburg, MD 21727, USA;2. Department of Business Information Technology, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
Abstract:A coordinated approach is developed to integrate three preventive measures (i.e. building reinforcement, reinforcement of road networks, and facility location of relief supplies), with the objectives of minimizing budgets and risk-induced penalties. The Conditional Value-at-Risk is employed as a decision-making tool to evaluate diverse decisions of prevention based on the degree of risk aversion. Based on a real-world case of an earthquake, a series of scenarios were designed, and the applicability of the proposed model was studied. The coordinated approach for investing preventive measures is cost-efficient in helping reduce the impact of disaster on society.
Keywords:Disaster prevention  Emergency logistics  Network reliability  Stochastic programming  Conditional Value at Risk  Risk management
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