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天津财政收入与GDP关系的协整分析与误差修正模型研究
引用本文:赵春滨.天津财政收入与GDP关系的协整分析与误差修正模型研究[J].经济研究导刊,2009(20):34-36.
作者姓名:赵春滨
作者单位:南开大学,经济学院,天津,300457
摘    要:利用协整理论对1978--2006年天津市财政收入与GDP之间的关系进行实证研究,结论是:天津市财政收入与GDP之间存在长期稳定均衡的协整关系和短期动态调整机制;天津市财政收入与GDP之间存在Granger因果关系;通过误差修正模型可以具体解释协整关系背后的内在原因和作用机制。

关 键 词:财政收入  误差修正模型  Granger因果关系

Research on the joint analysis and the error correct model between the financial income and the GDP in Tianjin
ZHAO Chun-bin.Research on the joint analysis and the error correct model between the financial income and the GDP in Tianjin[J].Economic Research Guide,2009(20):34-36.
Authors:ZHAO Chun-bin
Institution:ZHAO Chun-bin (Economy college, Nankai university, Tiamjin 300457, China)
Abstract:The exploitation helps the sorting theory to carry on the .substantial evidence research to the relation between public finance income and the GDP of Tianjin city of 1978-2006, conclusion is:public finance income of Tianjin city and of the GDPs exist the long-term stability to help the whole relation and short-term dynamic states to adjust the mechanism balancedly;public finance income of Tianjin city and an existence Granger cause and effect relation of the GDP;Pass the error margin correction model can explain the inside reason and function mechanisms of help the whole relation backs in a specific way.
Keywords:financial income  error correct model  Granger cause and effect relation
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