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人口结构、经济增长与中国居民储蓄率:基于迭代模型(OLG)和省级面板数据的实证研究
引用本文:芦东. 人口结构、经济增长与中国居民储蓄率:基于迭代模型(OLG)和省级面板数据的实证研究[J]. 上海金融, 2011, 0(1)
作者姓名:芦东
作者单位:中国外汇交易中心,上海,200204
摘    要:本文认为次贷危机的根本原因在于全球储蓄率的失衡。为此,本文建立了一个三期迭代模型,解释了人口结构因素和收入增长因素对中国居民储蓄率的影响,并基于实证研究,对中国居民储蓄率在未来中期波动状况进行了预测分析。

关 键 词:人口结构  经济增长  中国居民储蓄率  三期迭代  

Population Composition,Economic Growth and China's Household Saving Rate-An Empirical Study based on OLG Model and Provincial Panel Data
Lu Dong. Population Composition,Economic Growth and China's Household Saving Rate-An Empirical Study based on OLG Model and Provincial Panel Data[J]. Shanghai Finance, 2011, 0(1)
Authors:Lu Dong
Abstract:The article argues that the imbalance of global saving rate led to the burst of sub-prime crisis.To solve this problem,the article builds a three-sector overlapping generation model,to explain the effect of population composition and income growth on China's household saving rate.Based on this empirical study,it forecasts the fluctuation of China's household saving rate in medium term.
Keywords:Population Composition  Economic Growth  China's Household Saving Rate  Three-sector Overlapping Generation  
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