外商直接投资对中国就业影响的实证研究——基于1985—2009年的时间序列数据

基于协整理论、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验,根据中国1985-2009年的时间序列数据和Cobb-Douglas生产函数的修正模型,分析外商直接投资对我国就业的影响,结果表明:短期内外商直接投资对就业并无明显促进作用,从长期来看,外商直接投资对就业的贡献程度低于国内固定资产投资对就业的贡献程度。政府应打破垄断,放宽投资条件,并运用多种经济手段,鼓励外资进入劳动力密集产业,从而实现双方共赢。

An Empirical Research on Impacts of FDI upon Employment in China

Based on the co-integration theory,error correct model and Granger causality test,according to the time series between 1985 and 2009 and the correction model of Cobb-Douglas production function,this paper analysis the impacts of FDI upon employment in China.The conclusions show that FDI has no significant role in promoting employment in the short run;the contribution of foreign direct investment on employment is lower than fixed asset investment in the long term.The government should break the monopoly and ...