| 区域物流系统与经济增长的动态耦合机理与实证仿真 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘维林.区域物流系统与经济增长的动态耦合机理与实证仿真[J].经济地理,2011(9):1493-1498,1510. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘维林 |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学经济与社会发展研究院; |
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| 基金项目： | 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(编号:HKZXB10064)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用系统动力学的方法对区域物流系统与区域经济增长之间的动态关联关系及耦合结构进行模型设计和仿真实证,分析了其三大作用子系统及多重嵌套反馈回路,结合天津滨海新区案例,模拟了自适应、物流系统适度超前和其它产业优先三种发展模式下的协同演化路径。结果表明二者存在自适应调节机制,物流适度超前短期内会略微减缓区域经济增速,但长期则能使区域经济增速显著提升。
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| 关 键 词： | 区域物流 区域经济增长 系统动力学 动态耦合 |
DYNAMIC COUPLING MECHANISM AND EMPIRICAL STUDY ON REGIONAL LOGISTICS SYSTEM AND ECONOMY GROWTH |
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| LIU Wei-lin.DYNAMIC COUPLING MECHANISM AND EMPIRICAL STUDY ON REGIONAL LOGISTICS SYSTEM AND ECONOMY GROWTH[J].Economic Geography,2011(9):1493-1498,1510. |
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| Authors: | LIU Wei-lin |
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| Institution: | LIU Wei-lin(Institute of Economic and Social Development,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China) |
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| Abstract: | By utilizing a system dynamics model,simulate the dynamic co-relationship and coupling structure between regional logistics system and economy growth.Three effect subsystems and multiple feedback loops are constructed: demand-pulling and supply-pushing-mechanisms of regional economy to logistics system and feedback mechanism of logistics to economy.The data of Tianjin Binhai area are used to simulate three co-evolution routes in the scenarios of adaptive,modest leading of logistics and other industry prior ... |
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| Keywords: | regional logistics regional economy growth system dynamics dynamic coupling |
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