| 新型汇率机制下人民币升值压力累积与释放之选择 |
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| 引用本文： | 石巧荣. 新型汇率机制下人民币升值压力累积与释放之选择[J]. 商业研究, 2006, 72(15): 167-172 |
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| 作者姓名： | 石巧荣 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东金融学院,金融系,广东,广州,510521 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东金融学院重点科研课题“人民币汇率机制与货币政策效率”的阶段性研究成果。项目编号:04XJ31 |
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| 摘 要： | 目前人民币仍面临由自身价值提高、篮子货币贬值和市场升值预期复合而成的多重升值压力。面对压力,有名义升值、实际升值和压力累积等三种政策方案可供选择。从成本收益量化比较来看,名义升值净成本最低。因此,应在不超过升值压力幅度的范围内允许人民币名义汇率继续缓升,并采取相应的配套措施,以消除货币低估,实现内外均衡。
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| 关 键 词： | 人民币 升值压力 成本收益分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-148X（2006）15-0167-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-10-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-10-14 |
Cumulating or Release:the Policies for the Pressure of RMB Appreciation under New Exchange Rate Mechanism |
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| SHI Qiao-rong. Cumulating or Release:the Policies for the Pressure of RMB Appreciation under New Exchange Rate Mechanism[J]. Commercial Research, 2006, 72(15): 167-172 |
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| Authors: | SHI Qiao-rong |
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| Affiliation: | Department of Finance Guangdong University of Finance, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510521, China |
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| Abstract: | RMB is confronted with multi-pressures of appreciation at present.It comes from the increase of intrinsic value of RMB itself,the depreciation of basket-money and market appreciation expectation.In the face of the pressure,there are three schemes for selection: appreciation in nominal or real exchange rate or pressure cumulating.According to cost-benefit analysis,the cost of appreciation in nominal is the lowest.Therefore,in order to eliminate the devaluation and to realize internal-external equilibrium,it is necessary to keep the nominal exchange rate of RMB increasing slowly in the bound of appreciation pressure and take corresponding measures. |
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| Keywords: | RMB pressure of appreciation cost-benefit analysis |
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