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Objective Bayes Factors for Inequality Constrained Hypotheses
Authors:Herbert Hoijtink
Affiliation:1. Department of Methods and Statistics, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80140, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands;2. CITO Institute for Educational Measurement, P.O. Box 1034, 6801 MG Arnhem, The Netherlands E‐mail: H.Hoijtink@uu.nl or herbert.hoijtink@cito.nl
Abstract:This paper will present a Bayes factor for the comparison of an inequality constrained hypothesis with its complement or an unconstrained hypothesis. Equivalent sets of hypotheses form the basis for the quantification of the complexity of an inequality constrained hypothesis. It will be shown that the prior distribution can be chosen such that one of the terms in the Bayes factor is the quantification of the complexity of the hypothesis of interest. The other term in the Bayes factor represents a measure of the fit of the hypothesis. Using a vague prior distribution this fit value is essentially determined by the data. The result is an objective Bayes factor.
Keywords:Bayes factor  equivalent hypotheses  inequality constraints  model complexity
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